Lula Recalibrates as Latin America’s Right Gains Ground
Lula and Sheinbaum are strengthening the Brazil-Mexico relationship at the same time that right-leaning governments are advancing elsewhere. That gives both leaders a practical reason to deepen cooperation.
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Lula is adjusting Brazil’s regional posture as right-leaning governments gain ground in Colombia and Peru while Brazil and Mexico deepen ties around energy, trade, and industrial policy as his own election looms in October.
Impact: The business signal is not a simple left-versus-right map but a more fragmented regional operating environment where bilateral relationships, security cooperation, and state-backed industrial policy matter more than broad regional consensus.
Watchpoint: Track Brazil-Mexico energy cooperation, Colombia’s security and trade posture under De la Espriella, Peru’s transition under Fujimori, and how Lula positions Brazil before the October election.